San Diego
Pioneer · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#104
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#101
−9.8 pts · likely #75–120
Strength of schedule
17.7
#115 of 128
Strength of victory
3.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.279
Opp. 20.8% · Opp. opp. 42.0%
Remaining SOS
7.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Marist · p 0.062
- Wk 8: vs Drake · p 0.076
- Wk 9: vs Morehead State · p 0.064
- Wk 10: at Presbyterian · p 0.042
- Wk 11: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.131
- Wk 12: at Stetson · p 0.091
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Colorado MesaDII · L 21-28