East Texas A&M
Southland · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#89
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#93
−7.0 pts · likely #67–115
Strength of schedule
39.5
#25 of 128
Strength of victory
6.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.451
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 51.9%
Remaining SOS
28.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Texas A&M. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs UC Davis | L 10-48 | +6.2 | −2.7 | 0.354 | 2 | −28.3 |
| 2 | at Sacramento State | L 6-34 | +11.7 | +2.7 | 0.644 | 1 | −12.6 |
| 5 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 27-56 | +6.7 | +2.7 | 0.512 | 1 | −18.2 |
| 6 | vs McNeese | W 41-10 | −10.3 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Incarnate Word · p 0.721
- Wk 8: vs Nicholls State · p 0.240
- Wk 9: at Houston Christian · p 0.110
- Wk 10: at Lamar · p 0.149
- Wk 11: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.200
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at Old DominionFBS · L 9-10