Stephen F. Austin
Southland · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#66
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#33
+8.1 pts · likely #12–55
Strength of schedule
20.8
#109 of 128
Strength of victory
14.0
#41
Record SOS
0.429
Opp. 40.0% · Opp. opp. 48.8%
Remaining SOS
46.5
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stephen F. Austin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Alcorn State | W 38-10 | −1.9 | −2.7 | 0.178 | 3 | +21.4 |
| 3 | at Northwestern State | W 41-7 | −10.5 | +2.7 | 0.126 | 3 | +22.6 |
| 4 | vs Austin Peay | L 20-22 | +9.8 | −2.7 | 0.448 | 2 | +6.1 |
| 5 | vs East Texas A&M | W 56-27 | −5.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Central Arkansas · p 0.681
- Wk 8: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.306
- Wk 10: at Tarleton State · p 0.453
- Wk 11: vs Southern Utah · p 0.354
- Wk 12: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.533
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TroyFBS · L 30-48