Morehead State
Pioneer · 3-7 vs FCS · 4-7 overall
Strength of record
#109
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#109
−10.7 pts · likely #88–119
Strength of schedule
21.6
#106 of 128
Strength of victory
10.7
#91
Record SOS
0.487
Opp. 51.5% · Opp. opp. 43.2%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-4
Tier 4
Weak
2-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Mercer | L 22-48 | +8.5 | +2.5 | 0.554 | 1 | −14.1 |
| 4 | at St. Thomas (MN) | L 28-35 | −3.8 | +2.5 | 0.242 | 3 | −6.8 |
| 5 | vs Drake | L 9-16 | −4.9 | −2.5 | 0.133 | 3 | −13.7 |
| 6 | vs Dayton | W 31-7 | −11.0 | −2.5 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs West Virginia StateDII · W 37-35