Valparaiso
Pioneer · 2-7 vs FCS · 3-8 overall
Strength of record
#116
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#110
−11.5 pts · likely #91–121
Strength of schedule
19.7
#112 of 128
Strength of victory
3.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.451
Opp. 44.7% · Opp. opp. 45.7%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
2-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Youngstown State | L 10-52 | +12.0 | +2.5 | 0.647 | 1 | −21.2 |
| 4 | vs Marist | L 30-36 OT | −20.4 | −2.5 | 0.015 | 4 | −23.7 |
| 6 | at Drake | L 14-20 | −4.2 | +2.5 | 0.234 | 3 | −7.7 |
| 7 | vs Morehead State | L 21-24 | −11.6 | −2.5 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Indiana WesleyanNon-NCAA · L 22-24
- Wk 5: vs Southwest Minnesota StateDII · W 16-15