Tarleton State
UAC · 7-2 vs FCS · 8-3 overall
Strength of record
#18
A #25-level team matches it 36% of the time
Power
#21
+9.6 pts · likely #10–45
Strength of schedule
33.2
#63 of 128
Strength of victory
28.6
#37
Record SOS
0.457
Opp. 42.5% · Opp. opp. 52.1%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at McNeese | W 52-34 | −14.9 | +2.5 | 0.073 | 4 | +6.6 |
| 2 | vs North Alabama | W 52-31 | −1.2 | −2.5 | 0.194 | 3 | +15.5 |
| 5 | at Southeastern Louisiana | W 14-13 | −0.0 | +2.5 | 0.330 | 2 | +5.8 |
| 6 | vs Southern Utah | L 26-27 | +11.3 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Texas TechFBS · L 3-41
- Wk 4: vs Southwest BaptistDII · W 27-13