Sacramento State
Big Sky · 6-4 vs FCS · 7-4 overall
Strength of record
#36
A #25-level team matches it 67% of the time
Power
#35
+7.4 pts · likely #16–54
Strength of schedule
39.5
#29 of 128
Strength of victory
19.8
#62
Record SOS
0.515
Opp. 51.7% · Opp. opp. 51.0%
Remaining SOS
64.3
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-4
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Nicholls State | W 38-24 | +7.3 | +2.4 | 0.519 | 1 | +21.8 |
| 2 | vs East Texas A&M | W 34-6 | −13.0 | −2.4 | 0.049 | 4 | +12.7 |
| 4 | at Idaho | L 27-36 | +15.0 | +2.4 | 0.716 | 1 | +7.7 |
| 5 | vs Northern Arizona | W 31-30 | +4.4 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at North Dakota · p 0.620
- Wk 14: at South Dakota · p 0.665
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at StanfordFBS · W 30-23