Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 5-5 vs FCS · 5-6 overall
Strength of record
#44
A #25-level team matches it 77% of the time
Power
#50
+4.5 pts · likely #25–67
Strength of schedule
44.9
#11 of 128
Strength of victory
44.0
#2
Record SOS
0.528
Opp. 53.1% · Opp. opp. 52.3%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Dakota | L 22-37 | +10.4 | +2.4 | 0.603 | 1 | −3.4 |
| 3 | vs Utah Tech | L 36-50 | −5.7 | −2.4 | 0.123 | 3 | −19.7 |
| 4 | vs Montana | W 28-14 | +21.1 | −2.4 | 0.745 | 1 | +31.1 |
| 5 | at Sacramento State | L 30-31 | +8.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArizonaFBS · L 3-38