North Dakota
MVFC · 7-3 vs FCS · 7-4 overall
Strength of record
#15
A #25-level team matches it 31% of the time
Power
#26
+9.3 pts · likely #11–47
Strength of schedule
41.1
#20 of 128
Strength of victory
29.1
#33
Record SOS
0.558
Opp. 56.6% · Opp. opp. 54.1%
Remaining SOS
41.4
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Drake | W 55-7 | −2.4 | −2.4 | 0.174 | 3 | +29.1 |
| 2 | vs Northern Arizona | W 37-22 | +5.5 | −2.4 | 0.346 | 2 | +17.2 |
| 5 | at South Dakota State | L 21-42 | +30.8 | +2.4 | 0.950 | 1 | +11.1 |
| 6 | vs Western Illinois | W 49-10 | −17.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Sacramento State · p 0.414
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Boise StateFBS · L 18-42