South Dakota
MVFC · 9-1 vs FCS · 9-2 overall
Strength of record
#2
A #25-level team matches it 1.5% of the time
Power
#15
+11.1 pts · likely #8–41
Strength of schedule
40.2
#24 of 128
Strength of victory
34.8
#11
Record SOS
0.568
Opp. 58.0% · Opp. opp. 54.3%
Remaining SOS
56.5
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | W 24-0 | −3.5 | −2.4 | 0.156 | 3 | +19.1 |
| 3 | vs Lamar | W 35-6 | −2.1 | −2.4 | 0.180 | 3 | +23.9 |
| 5 | at North Dakota State | W 24-19 | +21.1 | +2.4 | 0.837 | 1 | +26.1 |
| 6 | vs Murray State | W 38-7 | −6.9 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: vs Sacramento State · p 0.414
- Wk 15: vs North Dakota State · p 0.717
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MissouriFBS · L 10-35