Southern Illinois
MVFC · 6-4 vs FCS · 7-4 overall
Strength of record
#25
A #25-level team matches it 49% of the time
Power
#22
+9.7 pts · likely #11–47
Strength of schedule
45.5
#9 of 128
Strength of victory
29.2
#32
Record SOS
0.552
Opp. 55.2% · Opp. opp. 55.2%
Remaining SOS
53.1
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-4
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Austin Peay | W 49-23 | +13.8 | −2.4 | 0.566 | 1 | +34.5 |
| 3 | at Southeast Missouri State | W 26-25 | +4.4 | +2.4 | 0.440 | 2 | +6.7 |
| 5 | vs Missouri State | W 33-20 | +8.0 | −2.4 | 0.408 | 2 | +17.3 |
| 6 | at Youngstown State | L 3-31 | +9.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Nicholls State · p 0.346
- Wk 14: at Idaho · p 0.715
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Northern IllinoisFBS · W 14-11