Austin Peay
UAC · 9-1 vs FCS · 9-2 overall
Strength of record
#6
A #25-level team matches it 6.5% of the time
Power
#16
+10.9 pts · likely #8–43
Strength of schedule
35.3
#49 of 128
Strength of victory
33.0
#16
Record SOS
0.512
Opp. 49.1% · Opp. opp. 55.5%
Remaining SOS
43.3
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Austin Peay. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Southern Illinois | L 23-49 | +8.8 | +2.4 | 0.560 | 1 | −14.0 |
| 3 | vs East Tennessee State | W 63-3 | −5.6 | −2.4 | 0.124 | 3 | +26.2 |
| 4 | at Stephen F. Austin | W 22-20 | +1.0 | +2.4 | 0.353 | 2 | +3.9 |
| 5 | at Lindenwood | W 52-10 | −13.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Chattanooga · p 0.433
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TennesseeFBS · L 13-30