Gardner-Webb
OVC · 7-2 vs FCS · 7-4 overall
Strength of record
#19
A #25-level team matches it 38% of the time
Power
#34
+7.8 pts · likely #15–55
Strength of schedule
32.6
#63 of 128
Strength of victory
31.3
#24
Record SOS
0.576
Opp. 60.3% · Opp. opp. 52.0%
Remaining SOS
56.4
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
5-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Elon | W 34-27 | +9.6 | −2.4 | 0.452 | 2 | +13.9 |
| 3 | at Tennessee State | L 25-27 | −7.5 | +2.4 | 0.169 | 3 | −6.9 |
| 6 | vs Robert Morris | W 31-16 | −11.9 | −2.4 | 0.057 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 7 | at Austin Peay | L 14-41 | +9.4 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Mercer · p 0.564
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Appalachian StateFBS · L 24-45
- Wk 4: at East CarolinaFBS · L 0-44