Montana State
Big Sky · 8-3 vs FCS · 8-3 overall
Strength of record
#11
A #25-level team matches it 21% of the time
Power
#4
+19.0 pts · likely #2–12
Strength of schedule
41.6
#18 of 128
Strength of victory
27.3
#41
Record SOS
0.546
Opp. 55.4% · Opp. opp. 53.0%
Remaining SOS
71.7
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Utah Tech | W 63-20 | −2.4 | −2.4 | 0.174 | 3 | +29.3 |
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 16-20 | +31.6 | +2.4 | 0.955 | 1 | +28.1 |
| 3 | vs Stetson | W 57-20 | −21.9 | −2.4 | 0.012 | 4 | +12.2 |
| 4 | at Weber State | W 40-0 | +7.8 | +2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: vs North Dakota State · p 0.717