Nicholls State
Southland · 6-2 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#35
A #25-level team matches it 64% of the time
Power
#46
+5.5 pts · likely #21–64
Strength of schedule
26.9
#84 of 128
Strength of victory
24.5
#47
Record SOS
0.460
Opp. 44.8% · Opp. opp. 48.4%
Remaining SOS
62.5
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Sacramento State | L 24-38 | +6.7 | −2.4 | 0.376 | 2 | −8.9 |
| 5 | at McNeese | W 31-10 | −13.6 | +2.4 | 0.085 | 4 | +9.6 |
| 6 | vs Houston Christian | W 38-7 | −4.7 | −2.4 | 0.138 | 3 | +22.0 |
| 8 | at East Texas A&M | W 27-7 | −13.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Southern Illinois · p 0.625
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TCUFBS · L 6-41
- Wk 4: at TulaneFBS · L 7-36