Sacramento State
Big Sky · 6-3 vs FCS · 7-3 overall
Strength of record
#28
A #25-level team matches it 55% of the time
Power
#32
+8.0 pts · likely #13–53
Strength of schedule
37.2
#37 of 128
Strength of victory
19.6
#64
Record SOS
0.506
Opp. 50.4% · Opp. opp. 51.0%
Remaining SOS
61.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Nicholls State | W 38-24 | +7.3 | +2.7 | 0.526 | 1 | +21.9 |
| 2 | vs East Texas A&M | W 34-6 | −13.0 | −2.7 | 0.047 | 4 | +12.2 |
| 4 | at Idaho | L 27-36 | +13.5 | +2.7 | 0.688 | 1 | +6.6 |
| 5 | vs Northern Arizona | W 31-30 | +3.5 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at UC Davis · p 0.556
- Wk 13: at North Dakota · p 0.631
- Wk 14: at South Dakota · p 0.652
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at StanfordFBS · W 30-23