Montana
Big Sky · 8-1 vs FCS · 9-1 overall
Strength of record
#5
A #25-level team matches it 8.8% of the time
Power
#5
+16.3 pts · likely #3–21
Strength of schedule
35.8
#42 of 128
Strength of victory
35.5
#11
Record SOS
0.514
Opp. 51.4% · Opp. opp. 51.3%
Remaining SOS
72.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Butler | W 35-20 | −0.1 | −2.7 | 0.213 | 3 | +13.9 |
| 2 | at Utah Tech | W 43-13 | −2.4 | +2.7 | 0.277 | 2 | +28.7 |
| 4 | at Northern Arizona | L 14-28 | +1.8 | +2.7 | 0.379 | 2 | −7.5 |
| 5 | vs Idaho State | W 28-20 | −6.0 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Montana State · p 0.782
- Wk 14: vs Delaware · p 0.696
- Wk 15: vs Furman · p 0.539
- Wk 16: vs North Dakota State · p 0.686
- Wk 16: vs (N) South Dakota State · p 0.936
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Ferris StateDII · W 17-10