Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 4-5 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#51
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#52
+3.8 pts · likely #27–71
Strength of schedule
45.3
#9 of 128
Strength of victory
42.8
#4
Record SOS
0.531
Opp. 53.4% · Opp. opp. 52.5%
Remaining SOS
39.4
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Dakota | L 22-37 | +10.6 | +2.7 | 0.615 | 1 | −2.8 |
| 3 | vs Utah Tech | L 36-50 | −6.5 | −2.7 | 0.109 | 3 | −20.7 |
| 4 | vs Montana | W 28-14 | +18.4 | −2.7 | 0.676 | 1 | +27.6 |
| 5 | at Sacramento State | L 30-31 | +9.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.394
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArizonaFBS · L 3-38