UC Davis
Big Sky · 5-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#40
A #25-level team matches it 75% of the time
Power
#33
+8.1 pts · likely #12–53
Strength of schedule
33.3
#57 of 128
Strength of victory
29.1
#27
Record SOS
0.487
Opp. 46.8% · Opp. opp. 52.3%
Remaining SOS
34.9
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at East Texas A&M | W 48-10 | −8.3 | +2.6 | 0.159 | 3 | +27.5 |
| 3 | vs Southern Utah | W 23-21 | +9.8 | −2.6 | 0.452 | 2 | +9.0 |
| 4 | vs Eastern Washington | L 24-27 | +1.9 | −2.6 | 0.257 | 2 | −2.7 |
| 5 | at Cal Poly | W 31-13 | −13.4 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Idaho State · p 0.237
- Wk 12: vs Sacramento State · p 0.462
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Oregon StateFBS · L 7-55