Weber State
Big Sky · 3-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#62
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#48
+3.7 pts · likely #27–74
Strength of schedule
40.4
#20 of 128
Strength of victory
34.8
#15
Record SOS
0.500
Opp. 48.5% · Opp. opp. 53.2%
Remaining SOS
33.5
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Weber State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Northern Iowa | W 34-17 | +13.8 | +2.6 | 0.691 | 1 | +30.3 |
| 4 | vs Montana State | L 0-40 | +19.9 | −2.6 | 0.716 | 1 | −16.6 |
| 5 | at Northern Colorado | W 28-21 | −12.7 | +2.6 | 0.097 | 4 | −2.0 |
| 6 | vs Northern Arizona | L 10-27 | +1.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Idaho · p 0.580
- Wk 12: at Cal Poly · p 0.091
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Central WashingtonDII · W 35-10
- Wk 3: at UtahFBS · L 7-31