Northern Iowa
MVFC · 6-2 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#14
A #25-level team matches it 24% of the time
Power
#16
+10.8 pts · likely #7–42
Strength of schedule
41.5
#17 of 128
Strength of victory
36.1
#9
Record SOS
0.529
Opp. 52.2% · Opp. opp. 54.5%
Remaining SOS
55.6
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Iowa. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Weber State | L 17-34 | +0.1 | −2.6 | 0.219 | 3 | −15.8 |
| 3 | at Idaho State | W 41-17 | −2.5 | +2.6 | 0.273 | 2 | +21.8 |
| 5 | vs Youngstown State | W 44-41 | +13.3 | −2.6 | 0.548 | 1 | +12.6 |
| 6 | at Indiana State | W 27-20 | −7.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Missouri State · p 0.453
- Wk 12: vs North Dakota State · p 0.660
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 9-30