Montana
Big Sky · 7-1 vs FCS · 8-1 overall
Strength of record
#6
A #25-level team matches it 13% of the time
Power
#6
+15.1 pts · likely #3–25
Strength of schedule
35.3
#47 of 128
Strength of victory
35.2
#12
Record SOS
0.525
Opp. 52.7% · Opp. opp. 52.1%
Remaining SOS
66.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Butler | W 35-20 | −0.5 | −2.6 | 0.207 | 3 | +13.5 |
| 2 | at Utah Tech | W 43-13 | −3.1 | +2.6 | 0.259 | 2 | +27.6 |
| 4 | at Northern Arizona | L 14-28 | +1.3 | +2.6 | 0.363 | 2 | −8.0 |
| 5 | vs Idaho State | W 28-20 | −5.9 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Portland State · p 0.438
- Wk 12: vs Montana State · p 0.762
- Wk 14: vs Delaware · p 0.651
- Wk 15: vs Furman · p 0.530
- Wk 16: vs North Dakota State · p 0.660
- Wk 16: vs (N) South Dakota State · p 0.922
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Ferris StateDII · W 17-10