Cal Poly
Big Sky · 2-5 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#87
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#117
−13.9 pts · likely #99–125
Strength of schedule
39.0
#30 of 128
Strength of victory
6.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.493
Opp. 48.7% · Opp. opp. 50.5%
Remaining SOS
44.9
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs San Diego | W 27-10 | −10.5 | −2.6 | 0.067 | 4 | +3.3 |
| 4 | at Portland State | L 21-59 | +1.9 | +2.6 | 0.379 | 2 | −29.8 |
| 5 | vs UC Davis | L 13-31 | +8.8 | −2.6 | 0.425 | 2 | −12.4 |
| 6 | vs Idaho | L 14-42 | +14.1 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Sacramento State · p 0.599
- Wk 12: vs Weber State · p 0.298
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at San José StateFBS · L 3-59
- Wk 3: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 41-20