Samford
Southern · 4-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#63
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#44
+5.1 pts · likely #22–69
Strength of schedule
26.9
#83 of 128
Strength of victory
11.6
#82
Record SOS
0.466
Opp. 44.6% · Opp. opp. 50.6%
Remaining SOS
48.2
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Samford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Western Carolina | L 7-30 | +7.0 | +2.6 | 0.515 | 1 | −12.9 |
| 4 | vs Chattanooga | L 24-47 | +6.9 | −2.6 | 0.376 | 2 | −16.1 |
| 5 | vs East Tennessee State | W 42-28 | −5.5 | −2.6 | 0.124 | 3 | +6.6 |
| 6 | at Wofford | W 31-10 | −9.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Mercer · p 0.556
- Wk 12: vs UT Martin · p 0.407
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs ShorterDII · W 69-14
- Wk 3: at AuburnFBS · L 13-45