East Tennessee State
Southern · 1-6 vs FCS · 2-7 overall
Strength of record
#103
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#87
−4.8 pts · likely #61–106
Strength of schedule
40.2
#23 of 128
Strength of victory
9.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.550
Opp. 60.0% · Opp. opp. 45.0%
Remaining SOS
29.3
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Austin Peay | L 3-63 | +10.2 | +2.6 | 0.602 | 1 | −20.8 |
| 5 | at Samford | L 28-42 | +3.3 | +2.6 | 0.415 | 2 | −6.3 |
| 6 | vs Mercer | L 6-24 | +7.9 | −2.6 | 0.401 | 2 | −11.5 |
| 7 | vs Wofford | W 41-10 | −8.1 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Western Carolina · p 0.562
- Wk 12: vs The Citadel · p 0.025
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Jacksonville StateFBS · L 3-49
- Wk 2: vs Carson-NewmanDII · W 42-0