Furman
Southern · 8-0 vs FCS · 8-1 overall
Strength of record
#3
A #25-level team matches it 3.2% of the time
Power
#10
+12.6 pts · likely #5–36
Strength of schedule
31.7
#66 of 128
Strength of victory
31.7
#21
Record SOS
0.485
Opp. 47.1% · Opp. opp. 51.2%
Remaining SOS
33.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Furman. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Tennessee Tech | W 45-10 | −3.8 | −2.6 | 0.149 | 3 | +27.9 |
| 3 | at Kennesaw State | W 31-28 | −4.6 | +2.6 | 0.226 | 3 | +2.8 |
| 4 | vs Mercer | W 38-14 | +10.3 | −2.6 | 0.466 | 2 | +30.5 |
| 6 | vs The Citadel | W 28-14 | −19.4 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs VMI · p 0.095
- Wk 12: at Wofford · p 0.121
- Wk 14: vs Chattanooga · p 0.425
- Wk 15: at Montana · p 0.715
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at South CarolinaFBS · L 21-47