Western Carolina
Southern · 6-2 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#24
A #25-level team matches it 48% of the time
Power
#35
+7.6 pts · likely #15–56
Strength of schedule
32.6
#61 of 128
Strength of victory
28.6
#29
Record SOS
0.530
Opp. 54.5% · Opp. opp. 49.9%
Remaining SOS
14.3
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Samford | W 30-7 | +5.6 | −2.6 | 0.343 | 2 | +25.6 |
| 3 | at Eastern Kentucky | W 27-24 | +6.2 | +2.6 | 0.493 | 2 | +10.8 |
| 4 | vs Charleston Southern | W 77-21 | −4.3 | −2.6 | 0.142 | 3 | +26.0 |
| 5 | at The Citadel | W 49-14 | −15.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.120
- Wk 12: at VMI · p 0.167
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArkansasFBS · L 13-56