Montana State
Big Sky · 12-1 vs FCS · 12-2 overall
Strength of record
#3
A #25-level team matches it 0.7% of the time
Power
#3
+16.2 pts · likely #2–14
Strength of schedule
37.2
#33 of 130
Strength of victory
33.3
#11
Record SOS
0.531
Opp. 53.0% · Opp. opp. 53.2%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
5-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (13)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs McNeese | W 40-17 | −6.3 | −2.1 | 0.120 | 3 | +15.8 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 63-13 | −15.8 | −2.1 | 0.034 | 4 | +19.8 |
| 4 | at Eastern Washington | W 38-35 | −5.6 | +2.1 | 0.197 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 5 | vs UC Davis | W 41-24 | +18.0 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs (N) Oregon StateFBS · L 28-68