Morehead State
Pioneer · 1-9 vs FCS · 2-9 overall
Strength of record
#126
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#125
−12.9 pts · likely #105–128
Strength of schedule
26.4
#97 of 130
Strength of victory
0.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.445
Opp. 44.6% · Opp. opp. 44.5%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-4
Tier 4
Weak
1-2
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Mercer | L 13-63 | +14.7 | +2.1 | 0.702 | 1 | −20.6 |
| 2 | at Montana State | L 13-63 | +17.3 | +2.1 | 0.759 | 1 | −16.6 |
| 4 | at Stetson | L 26-38 | −10.9 | +2.1 | 0.114 | 3 | −17.0 |
| 5 | vs Presbyterian | W 14-10 | −25.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 49-14