Cal Poly
Big Sky · 2-8 vs FCS · 2-9 overall
Strength of record
#106
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#117
−10.5 pts · likely #93–125
Strength of schedule
37.5
#31 of 130
Strength of victory
14.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.483
Opp. 45.9% · Opp. opp. 53.0%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs San Diego | W 28-27 | −2.4 | −2.1 | 0.181 | 3 | −2.0 |
| 3 | at South Dakota | L 21-38 | −2.4 | +2.1 | 0.264 | 2 | −17.9 |
| 5 | vs Sacramento State | L 21-49 | +16.4 | −2.1 | 0.641 | 1 | −16.1 |
| 6 | at Northern Arizona | L 29-31 | +0.0 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Fresno StateFBS · L 7-35