William & Mary
CAA · 10-2 vs FCS · 11-2 overall
Strength of record
#7
A #25-level team matches it 6.6% of the time
Power
#14
+11.6 pts · likely #6–30
Strength of schedule
40.2
#18 of 130
Strength of victory
36.7
#4
Record SOS
0.598
Opp. 62.4% · Opp. opp. 54.6%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
5-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (12)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Campbell | W 37-21 | +7.0 | −2.1 | 0.391 | 2 | +19.2 |
| 3 | at Lafayette | W 34-7 | −5.7 | +2.1 | 0.196 | 3 | +22.9 |
| 4 | vs Elon | L 31-35 | +9.3 | −2.1 | 0.453 | 2 | +1.6 |
| 5 | at Stony Brook | W 27-10 | −8.8 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CharlotteFBS · W 41-24