Towson
CAA · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#64
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#82
−3.3 pts · likely #54–107
Strength of schedule
39.9
#14 of 130
Strength of victory
24.8
#34
Record SOS
0.569
Opp. 58.8% · Opp. opp. 53.0%
Remaining SOS
21.8
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Bucknell | W 14-13 OT | −10.9 | +1.7 | 0.109 | 3 | −7.0 |
| 2 | vs Morgan State | W 29-21 | −4.5 | −1.7 | 0.151 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 4 | vs New Hampshire | L 14-37 | +6.2 | −1.7 | 0.379 | 2 | −17.1 |
| 5 | at Delaware | L 10-24 | +12.0 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Villanova · p 0.408
- Wk 11: at Stony Brook · p 0.110
- Wk 12: vs Hampton · p 0.138
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at West VirginiaFBS · L 7-65