Bucknell
Patriot · 1-6 vs FCS · 1-7 overall
Strength of record
#119
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#113
−9.7 pts · likely #88–125
Strength of schedule
25.4
#101 of 130
Strength of victory
15.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.452
Opp. 38.7% · Opp. opp. 58.2%
Remaining SOS
19.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-3
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Bucknell. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Towson | L 13-14 OT | −2.6 | −1.7 | 0.182 | 3 | −6.0 |
| 2 | at VMI | L 14-24 | −15.3 | +1.7 | 0.063 | 4 | −22.2 |
| 5 | vs Lafayette | L 14-24 | −5.5 | −1.7 | 0.136 | 3 | −16.5 |
| 6 | at Holy Cross | L 0-57 | +11.5 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Fordham · p 0.414
- Wk 11: at Georgetown · p 0.123
- Wk 12: vs Marist · p 0.048
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Central MichiganFBS · L 0-41