VMI
Southern · 1-6 vs FCS · 1-7 overall
Strength of record
#113
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#127
−13.9 pts · likely #105–129
Strength of schedule
33.6
#37 of 130
Strength of victory
9.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.502
Opp. 52.4% · Opp. opp. 46.0%
Remaining SOS
31.6
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against VMI. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Bucknell | W 24-14 | −8.7 | −1.7 | 0.094 | 4 | −1.5 |
| 3 | vs Cornell | L 22-28 | −4.8 | −1.7 | 0.145 | 3 | −12.3 |
| 5 | at Western Carolina | L 17-38 | −3.3 | +1.7 | 0.237 | 3 | −22.1 |
| 6 | vs East Tennessee State | L 21-44 | −0.6 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Samford · p 0.596
- Wk 11: at Wofford · p 0.206
- Wk 12: vs The Citadel · p 0.145
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Wake ForestFBS · L 10-44