Furman
Southern · 6-1 vs FCS · 7-2 overall
Strength of record
#17
A #25-level team matches it 32% of the time
Power
#29
+7.2 pts · likely #13–56
Strength of schedule
29.6
#71 of 130
Strength of victory
26.5
#28
Record SOS
0.495
Opp. 49.3% · Opp. opp. 49.8%
Remaining SOS
53.6
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Furman. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at East Tennessee State | W 27-14 | +1.5 | +1.7 | 0.348 | 2 | +15.0 |
| 4 | at Charleston Southern | W 24-19 | −7.4 | +1.7 | 0.159 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 5 | vs Samford | L 27-34 | +10.2 | −1.7 | 0.485 | 2 | +2.1 |
| 6 | at The Citadel | W 21-10 | −4.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Mercer · p 0.741
- Wk 12: vs Wofford · p 0.146
- Wk 13: vs Elon · p 0.474
- Wk 14: at Incarnate Word · p 0.784
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs North GreenvilleDII · W 52-0
- Wk 2: at ClemsonFBS · L 12-35