The Citadel
Southern · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-6 overall
Strength of record
#78
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#94
−5.2 pts · likely #63–114
Strength of schedule
40.3
#11 of 130
Strength of victory
28.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.563
Opp. 59.2% · Opp. opp. 50.7%
Remaining SOS
32.2
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Campbell | L 10-29 | +6.1 | +1.7 | 0.469 | 2 | −10.9 |
| 2 | vs East Tennessee State | W 20-17 | +1.4 | −1.7 | 0.263 | 2 | +1.6 |
| 3 | at Mercer | L 0-17 | +17.5 | +1.7 | 0.757 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 6 | vs Furman | L 10-21 | +7.4 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Chattanooga · p 0.566
- Wk 12: at VMI · p 0.078
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 5: at Appalachian StateFBS · L 0-49