Colgate
Patriot · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#67
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#80
−3.2 pts · likely #50–108
Strength of schedule
27.3
#86 of 130
Strength of victory
15.9
#62
Record SOS
0.519
Opp. 53.1% · Opp. opp. 49.5%
Remaining SOS
26.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Maine | W 21-18 | −1.5 | +1.7 | 0.276 | 2 | +2.4 |
| 3 | at Penn | L 14-25 | +7.6 | +1.7 | 0.509 | 1 | −2.3 |
| 4 | vs Holy Cross | L 10-35 | +11.4 | −1.7 | 0.520 | 1 | −15.2 |
| 5 | vs Cornell | L 31-34 | −5.8 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Lafayette · p 0.148
- Wk 11: at Lehigh · p 0.140
- Wk 12: at Fordham · p 0.506
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at StanfordFBS · L 10-41
- Wk 7: at ArmyFBS · L 17-42