Penn
Ivy · 6-1 vs FCS · 6-1 overall
Strength of record
#25
A #25-level team matches it 47% of the time
Power
#31
+7.0 pts · likely #14–58
Strength of schedule
24.0
#110 of 130
Strength of victory
24.6
#36
Record SOS
0.493
Opp. 46.0% · Opp. opp. 56.1%
Remaining SOS
39.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Penn. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Colgate | W 25-14 | −3.7 | −1.7 | 0.165 | 3 | +6.1 |
| 4 | vs Lafayette | W 12-0 | −4.9 | −1.7 | 0.145 | 3 | +5.5 |
| 5 | at Dartmouth | W 23-17 OT | +0.1 | +1.7 | 0.313 | 2 | +4.6 |
| 6 | at Georgetown | W 59-28 | −8.0 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Cornell · p 0.203
- Wk 11: vs Harvard · p 0.322
- Wk 12: at Princeton · p 0.658