Morgan State
MEAC · 2-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#87
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#93
−5.1 pts · likely #61–113
Strength of schedule
27.8
#84 of 130
Strength of victory
22.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.467
Opp. 44.5% · Opp. opp. 51.0%
Remaining SOS
17.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morgan State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Towson | L 21-29 | −3.9 | +1.7 | 0.225 | 3 | −9.6 |
| 3 | vs Sacred Heart | W 24-9 | −2.3 | −1.7 | 0.189 | 3 | +9.6 |
| 6 | vs Norfolk State | L 21-24 | −15.3 | −1.7 | 0.039 | 4 | −17.5 |
| 7 | at North Carolina Central | L 20-59 | +2.7 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Stony Brook · p 0.110
- Wk 11: at Delaware State · p 0.185
- Wk 12: vs Howard · p 0.228
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Georgia SouthernFBS · L 7-59
- Wk 5: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 44-10