William & Mary
CAA · 6-1 vs FCS · 7-1 overall
Strength of record
#9
A #25-level team matches it 22% of the time
Power
#21
+9.8 pts · likely #7–43
Strength of schedule
35.0
#29 of 130
Strength of victory
33.3
#8
Record SOS
0.590
Opp. 57.8% · Opp. opp. 61.3%
Remaining SOS
44.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Campbell | W 37-21 | +8.3 | −1.7 | 0.435 | 2 | +20.6 |
| 3 | at Lafayette | W 34-7 | −2.8 | +1.7 | 0.246 | 3 | +24.0 |
| 4 | vs Elon | L 31-35 | +8.9 | −1.7 | 0.452 | 2 | +3.1 |
| 5 | at Stony Brook | W 27-10 | −11.2 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Hampton · p 0.196
- Wk 11: vs Villanova · p 0.408
- Wk 12: at Richmond · p 0.657
- Wk 14: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.296
- Wk 15: at Montana State · p 0.659
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CharlotteFBS · W 41-24