Stony Brook
CAA · 1-6 vs FCS · 1-7 overall
Strength of record
#94
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#117
−10.8 pts · likely #92–126
Strength of schedule
44.8
#4 of 130
Strength of victory
20.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.600
Opp. 65.2% · Opp. opp. 49.4%
Remaining SOS
25.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Rhode Island | L 14-35 | +7.3 | −1.7 | 0.408 | 2 | −15.4 |
| 4 | at Richmond | L 7-51 | +11.9 | +1.7 | 0.625 | 1 | −20.9 |
| 5 | vs William & Mary | L 10-27 | +11.4 | −1.7 | 0.518 | 1 | −8.9 |
| 6 | at New Hampshire | L 14-24 | +9.4 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Morgan State · p 0.141
- Wk 11: vs Towson · p 0.172
- Wk 12: at Monmouth · p 0.443
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at MassachusettsFBS · L 3-20