Montana State
Big Sky · 6-0 vs FCS · 6-1 overall
Strength of record
#7
A #25-level team matches it 20% of the time
Power
#7
+13.0 pts · likely #3–30
Strength of schedule
22.1
#111 of 130
Strength of victory
22.1
#37
Record SOS
0.413
Opp. 28.9% · Opp. opp. 66.1%
Remaining SOS
46.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs McNeese | W 40-17 | −8.3 | −1.7 | 0.098 | 4 | +13.1 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 63-13 | −7.9 | −1.7 | 0.103 | 3 | +24.7 |
| 4 | at Eastern Washington | W 38-35 | −1.8 | +1.7 | 0.269 | 2 | +3.9 |
| 5 | vs UC Davis | W 41-24 | +11.2 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Weber State · p 0.598
- Wk 10: at Northern Arizona · p 0.204
- Wk 11: at Cal Poly · p 0.152
- Wk 12: vs Montana · p 0.559
- Wk 14: vs Weber State · p 0.598
- Wk 15: vs William & Mary · p 0.505
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.633
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs (N) Oregon StateFBS · L 28-68