Northern Colorado
Big Sky · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#84
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#97
−5.7 pts · likely #63–116
Strength of schedule
36.0
#29 of 130
Strength of victory
15.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.518
Opp. 58.3% · Opp. opp. 38.8%
Remaining SOS
26.5
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Colorado. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Houston Christian | L 34-46 | −10.3 | −1.7 | 0.077 | 4 | −21.6 |
| 3 | at Lamar | W 21-14 | −8.3 | +1.7 | 0.144 | 3 | −0.3 |
| 4 | vs Idaho State | W 35-14 | −3.7 | −1.7 | 0.164 | 3 | +12.6 |
| 5 | at Idaho | L 35-55 | +9.5 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs UC Davis · p 0.458
- Wk 10: at Portland State · p 0.145
- Wk 11: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.145
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.313
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at WyomingFBS · L 10-33