Sacramento State
Big Sky · 5-0 vs FCS · 6-0 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 20% of the time
Power
#4
+15.4 pts · likely #2–23
Strength of schedule
25.5
#92 of 130
Strength of victory
25.5
#23
Record SOS
0.412
Opp. 31.7% · Opp. opp. 60.2%
Remaining SOS
50.2
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Utah Tech | W 56-33 | −9.5 | −1.7 | 0.085 | 4 | +12.2 |
| 3 | at Northern Iowa | W 37-21 | +7.0 | +1.7 | 0.492 | 2 | +23.3 |
| 5 | at Cal Poly | W 49-21 | −6.7 | +1.7 | 0.170 | 3 | +22.1 |
| 6 | vs Northern Colorado | W 55-7 | −3.9 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Montana · p 0.559
- Wk 9: vs Idaho · p 0.482
- Wk 10: at Weber State · p 0.685
- Wk 11: at Portland State · p 0.145
- Wk 12: vs UC Davis · p 0.458
- Wk 14: vs Richmond · p 0.527
- Wk 15: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.660
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at Colorado StateFBS · W 41-10