UC Davis
Big Sky · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#55
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#22
+8.6 pts · likely #9–52
Strength of schedule
44.6
#6 of 130
Strength of victory
19.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.637
Opp. 78.0% · Opp. opp. 35.0%
Remaining SOS
34.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 22-24 | +12.7 | +1.7 | 0.645 | 1 | +11.4 |
| 3 | vs San Diego | W 43-13 | −1.8 | −1.7 | 0.198 | 3 | +24.9 |
| 4 | vs Weber State | L 12-17 | +14.0 | −1.7 | 0.590 | 1 | +7.0 |
| 5 | at Montana State | L 24-41 | +11.6 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Northern Colorado · p 0.187
- Wk 9: vs Cal Poly · p 0.104
- Wk 10: vs Idaho State · p 0.115
- Wk 11: at Idaho · p 0.574
- Wk 12: at Sacramento State · p 0.720
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CaliforniaFBS · L 13-34