Towson
CAA · 5-4 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#43
A #25-level team matches it 80% of the time
Power
#61
+0.1 pts · likely #40–90
Strength of schedule
37.9
#18 of 130
Strength of victory
23.7
#37
Record SOS
0.552
Opp. 55.8% · Opp. opp. 54.1%
Remaining SOS
14.4
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Bucknell | W 14-13 OT | −12.2 | +1.9 | 0.095 | 4 | −7.8 |
| 2 | vs Morgan State | W 29-21 | −1.6 | −1.9 | 0.199 | 3 | +4.7 |
| 4 | vs New Hampshire | L 14-37 | +7.2 | −1.9 | 0.403 | 2 | −16.6 |
| 5 | at Delaware | L 10-24 | +13.9 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Hampton · p 0.144
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at West VirginiaFBS · L 7-65