Monmouth
CAA · 4-6 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#70
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#49
+1.8 pts · likely #33–81
Strength of schedule
34.5
#40 of 130
Strength of victory
23.2
#41
Record SOS
0.499
Opp. 49.6% · Opp. opp. 50.6%
Remaining SOS
8.8
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Monmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at New Hampshire | L 21-31 | +8.6 | +1.9 | 0.540 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 2 | vs Fordham | L 49-52 | +10.6 | −1.9 | 0.494 | 2 | +6.1 |
| 3 | vs Georgetown | W 45-6 | −8.5 | −1.9 | 0.094 | 4 | +23.5 |
| 4 | at Villanova | W 49-42 | +2.9 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Stony Brook · p 0.088