William & Mary
CAA · 8-1 vs FCS · 9-1 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 12% of the time
Power
#16
+11.7 pts · likely #5–33
Strength of schedule
34.1
#43 of 130
Strength of victory
31.9
#11
Record SOS
0.563
Opp. 55.9% · Opp. opp. 57.2%
Remaining SOS
55.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Campbell | W 37-21 | +6.0 | −1.9 | 0.372 | 2 | +18.5 |
| 3 | at Lafayette | W 34-7 | −5.2 | +1.9 | 0.202 | 3 | +22.5 |
| 4 | vs Elon | L 31-35 | +11.4 | −1.9 | 0.514 | 1 | +5.1 |
| 5 | at Stony Brook | W 27-10 | −9.4 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Richmond · p 0.684
- Wk 14: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.337
- Wk 15: at Montana State · p 0.657
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CharlotteFBS · W 41-24