Lafayette
Patriot · 3-6 vs FCS · 3-7 overall
Strength of record
#81
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#100
−6.4 pts · likely #69–116
Strength of schedule
34.7
#38 of 130
Strength of victory
16.5
#71
Record SOS
0.576
Opp. 63.6% · Opp. opp. 45.6%
Remaining SOS
8.6
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Lafayette. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Sacred Heart | W 6-0 | −3.4 | −1.9 | 0.166 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 3 | vs William & Mary | L 7-34 | +11.7 | −1.9 | 0.523 | 1 | −17.2 |
| 4 | at Penn | L 0-12 | +4.3 | +1.9 | 0.424 | 2 | −6.7 |
| 5 | at Bucknell | W 24-14 | −10.6 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Lehigh · p 0.086
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TempleFBS · L 14-30