Colgate
Patriot · 3-5 vs FCS · 3-7 overall
Strength of record
#98
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#96
−5.4 pts · likely #63–114
Strength of schedule
22.6
#116 of 130
Strength of victory
16.1
#72
Record SOS
0.451
Opp. 42.1% · Opp. opp. 51.2%
Remaining SOS
58.8
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-3
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Maine | W 21-18 | −0.7 | +1.9 | 0.297 | 2 | +3.2 |
| 3 | at Penn | L 14-25 | +4.3 | +1.9 | 0.425 | 2 | −5.7 |
| 4 | vs Holy Cross | L 10-35 | +11.5 | −1.9 | 0.518 | 1 | −15.7 |
| 5 | vs Cornell | L 31-34 | −4.9 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Fordham · p 0.588
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at StanfordFBS · L 10-41
- Wk 7: at ArmyFBS · L 17-42